Diffusion of ions / Mean collision time / Collision & Survival probability
In this section,
Feynman discusses the concept of mean collision time, together with the related
ideas of collision probability and survival probability, in the context of ions
diffusing through a gas under a constant electric field. Historically, the mean
collision time (or mean free time) in the kinetic theory of gases was
understood as a consequence of the mean free path and the mean molecular speed.
In the work of Maxwell and Boltzmann, it evolved into a statistical average characterizing
the random motion of molecules. Drude gave the concept new importance in 1900
when he explained Ohm's law in metals: electrons move freely between collisions
with lattice ions, and their mean collision time (or relaxation time) became
the key parameter linking microscopic collisions to macroscopic conductivity,
diffusion, and mobility.
1. Diffusion of ions
“… we
shall consider the diffusion of ions in a gas. Suppose that in a gas there is a
relatively small concentration of ions—electrically charged molecules (Feynman
et al., 1963).”
Definition: The diffusion of
ions in a gas under a constant electric field is a transport process that combines
random thermal motion with a net drift along the applied field. The ions
undergo a random walk: collisions continually randomize their velocities, while
the electric field accelerates them between collisions, producing a small
average drift velocity superimposed on much larger microscopic molecular
speeds. The gas is assumed to remain close to thermal equilibrium, so that
the velocity distribution differs only slightly from the isotropic
Maxwell–Boltzmann distribution. Collisions are further assumed to occur at a
constant average rate, or equivalently a constant mean collision time. Under
this (Poisson) collision model, ion transport can be characterized by a
diffusion coefficient and mechanical mobility. Statistically, the motion involves
two effects: diffusion, which spreads ions from higher to lower concentration,
and drift, which directs a net motion along the electric force.
Idealizations: In deriving the
equations for ions in a dilute gas, at least four idealizations are introduced.
1. Instantaneous collisions:
The time between two successive collisions is much longer than the duration of
a collision itself—meaning ions are relatively far apart.
2. Two-body collisions:
The chance of three or more ions coming close to each other and interacting is
negligible small compared to the chance of two ions doing so.
3. Classical
particles: The ions are treated as classical particles whose de Broglie
wavelengths are negligibly small compared to the mean free path and the
characteristic dimensions of the system.
4. Weak electric
field: The applied electric field is sufficiently weak that the drift
velocity acquired between collisions is much smaller than the ions’ mean
thermal speed.
Under these idealizations,
quantum effects can be ignored and the ions may be modeled as classical
particles obeying classical kinetic theory.
2. Mean Collision time
“When
we say that τ, the mean time between collisions, is one minute, we do not
mean that all the collisions will occur at times separated by exactly one
minute. A particular particle does not have a collision, wait one minute, and
then have another collision. The times between successive collisions are quite
variable (Feynman et al., 1963).”
A General
Definition of Mean Collision Time
The mean collision
time, t, is the average time that a particle (e.g., an ion or gas molecule)
travels between successive collisions. In kinetic theory, collisions are
assumed to occur randomly and independently at a constant average rate 1/t. It means that the
probability of a collision during an infinitesimal time interval dt is dt/t. This assumption
implies that a memoryless* collision process: the probability of a collision in
the next instant does not depend on how much time has elapsed since the last
collision. Under these conditions, collisions are described by a Poisson
process, and the distribution of free-flight times is exponential. Most
particles therefore collide after relatively short times, while a smaller
fraction “survive” much longer than the average. Thus, t is not the actual
time between successive collisions, but as the statistical mean of an ensemble
of randomly distributed collision intervals. It provides a convenient measure
of collision frequency in dilute gases and other near-equilibrium systems.
*Note: The memoryless
property can be expressed mathematically as
P(T > s + t | T > s) =
P(T > t) where T is the waiting time until the next collision.
Feynman-style
explanation
In a sense, Feynman
did not give a proper Feynman-style explanation of the mean collision time. So
here’s an attempt:
I don’t have a simple
definition of mean collision time. You might ask, “How long does a particle—an
ion or a gas molecule—travel before it gets hit by something else?” Well, there
isn’t any definite time. Sometimes it collides almost immediately; sometimes it
wanders around for quite a while. The best we can do is talk about an average,
and we call that the mean collision time, or τ.
Suppose we watch a
particle for a very short time interval, dt. The chance of it collides
with another particle during that interval is just dt/τ. That’s the
whole assumption. It means collisions occur randomly, but with a definite
average frequency, 1/τ.
Here’s the funny
part: the particle has no memory of its past. It doesn’t matter if it just
had a collision a microsecond ago or has been cruising for a long time—the
chance of a collision in the next dt is exactly the same. You
might think a particle that has gone a long time without colliding is somehow
“due” for one, but nature doesn’t work that way. Every instant is a fresh
start.
Because of this
memoryless property, the times between collisions follow an exponential
distribution. Most particles collide again after relatively short times, but a
few lucky ones travel much longer than average before the next collision. If
you collected all those flight times and average them, you would get τ—the mean
collision time.
So τ is not the
time between any particular pair of collisions. It is only a statistical
average, a single number that summarizes a vast collection of random events.
Yet that single number turns out to be extraordinarily useful. It helps us
understand diffusion, electrical conduction, and many other transport phenomena
in dilute gases and similar systems.
3. Collision & Survival probability
“If we wish the probability of
no collision, P(t), we can get it by dividing N(t) by N0,
so P(t)=e−t/τ.(43.8). Our
result is: the probability that a particular molecule survives a
time t without a collision is e−t/τ,
where τ is the mean time between collisions (Feynman et al., 1963).”
It is useful to
distinguish between collision probability and survival probability—two complementary
aspects of the same random collision process.
Collision
probability concerns the likelihood that a particle encounters a collision in
the next infinitesimal time interval. In the kinetic theory model, collisions
occur randomly and independently at a constant average rate. If τ denotes the mean
collision time, then the probability of a collision during an infinitesimal
interval (dt) is:
P(collision in dt)
= dt/τ.
Survival
probability, by contrast, asks a different question: what is the probability that a
particle remains collision-free up to time (t)? Since the collision
probability per unit time is constant, the fraction of particles that
“survives” (remains collision-free) decreases exponentially with time:
P(survive
until t) = e^{-t/τ}.
Thus, collision
probability and survival probability are complementary descriptions of the same
Poisson process. The former focuses on the instantaneous likelihood of a
collision; the latter describes the cumulative probability of “no collision”
over time (See figure below).
A useful way to summarize the distinction is:
Collision probability → What is the chance of a collision
occurring in the next moment? (Instantaneous)
Survival probability → What is the chance that no collision has
occurred up to time t? (Cumulative, time-dependent)
![]() |
| Source: (Reif, 1965) |
During the lecture,
Feynman used a bus analogy to illustrate the concept of mean
collision time, but this was omitted by the editors. Another instructive
analogy is radioactive decay: the collision probability corresponds to the
instantaneous decay rate, while the survival probability is related to the
fraction of undecayed nuclei remaining after time t. The exponential
survival law follows directly from the assumption that the decay probability is
constant. In a sense, collision probability is the fundamental assumption,
whereas the survival probability is its statistical consequence.
In the audio
recording of the lecture [07 min: 50 sec], Feynman
says something like: “If buses run at random on schedule—which is usually what
happens (laughter). Then, when you come out at a bus terminal and say, ‘I
have to wait 15 minutes,’ this is only true if the buses are exactly 15 minutes
apart… Well, the bus is not a good example because they are organized in time
to some extent, but the collisions are completely disorganized…”
Here Feynman
compares molecular collisions to waiting for a bus. He jokes that buses often
arrive “at random,” so even if the average waiting time is 15 minutes, it does
not mean buses arrive precisely every 15 minutes. Some may arrive almost
immediately, while others may be delayed much longer. He quickly points out
that buses are actually a poor example because they are governed by a schedule,
whereas molecular collisions are assumed to occur completely at random. Nevertheless,
the analogy captures an important idea: the mean collision time is not a fixed
interval between successive collisions but a statistical average arising from a
stochastic process. Just as a commuter cannot predict exactly when the next bus
will arrive, we cannot predict when the next molecular collision will occur.
Importantly, both processes are governed by a constant probability per unit
time and therefore exhibit the same exponential model.
Key Takeaways:
In this section, Feynman examines the microscopic
transport of ions drifting through a gas under the influence of a uniform
electric field. His analysis provides a fundamental statistical description of
molecular transport by reducing the complex dynamics of countless collisions to
a simple probabilistic model. At the heart of this framework are three closely
related concepts: the mean collision time, collision probabilities, and
survival probabilities.
1. The Constant
Collision Rate: The Memoryless Process
Feynman begins
with the assumption that collisions occur randomly and independently at a
constant average rate. If t denotes the mean collision time,
then the probability that an ion encounters a collision in an infinitesimal time
interval (dt) is: P(dt) = dt/t.
The Key Insight: The collision
process is memoryless. An ion that has moved freely for a relatively long time
without colliding is no more likely to collide in the next moment than an ion
that has just encountered a collision. The parameter (t) is therefore not
a fixed interval between collisions, but a statistical average characterizing
the overage collision frequency.
2. The Exponential
Decay of Survival Probability
To transition from an infinitesimal step (dt)
to a timeline (t), we may ask: “What is the probability P(t) that an
ion "survives" up to time t without a single collision?” By analyzing how this probability changes over
a small change P(t + dt) = P(t)(1 - dt/t), Feynman sets up
a differential equation that yields a classic exponential decay: P(t)
= e^{-t/t}
The Key Insight: At t = 0,
the survival probability is 1(=100%). As time increases, the fraction of ions
that are collision-free decreases exponentially. After one mean collision time
(t = t),
the fraction of ions remain collision-free is only e^{-1}» 37%.
The Moral of the Lesson: Aerosol Dynamics in Public
Spaces
The diffusion of viral
aerosols (or smoke particles) in a public restroom provides a compelling,
real-world application of kinetic theory and statistical mechanics. By
analyzing how these particles behave, we can make informed decisions to improve
public health.
1. The Gas Molecule Analogy
After a toilet is
flushed, the water jet generates aerosol droplets that become
suspended in the air. These droplets behave like gas molecules: they undergo random
motion driven by continual collisions with air molecules and are
transported within the toilet by diffusion and air currents.
2. Mean Residence Time and Airborne Survival Probability
An airborne
particle remains suspended only for a finite time before being removed by one
of several mechanisms: gravitational settling, surface deposition, or
extraction via the ventilation system. If these removal processes operate at an
approximately constant average rate, the probability that a particle remains
airborne after a time (t) is
P(t) = e^{-t/τ}
where τ is the mean residence
time of the particle in the room. More complex models exist (for example, Srinivasan
et al., 2021), but this exponential approximation is often sufficient for near‑equilibrium
conditions.
3. Constant Hazard rate
When the ventilation
rate is steady and environmental conditions remains approximately constant, particle
removal can be modeled by a constant hazard rate (probability per unit
time), denoted by 1/τ. This quantity is analogous to the collision frequency used to
describe transport phenomena in dilute gases.
4. Exponential decay of Particle Concentration
Because each particle has a constant probability of removal per unit
time, the concentration of infectious or harmful particles decreases
exponentially:
C(t) = C0e^{-kt}
where C0
is the initial concentration and k is the total clearance rate.
The clearance rate
may include contributions from: mechanical ventilation, natural air exchange, surface deposition, gravitational settling, and
biological inactivation.
5. Application to Infection Risk
Wearing a protective
mask in a public restroom is a practical application of collision‑based,
probabilistic thinking. A mask acts as a physical barrier that intercepts moving
aerosols before they reach your respiratory tract:
Fibers as Collision Targets: When breathing through a properly
fitted mask (e.g., N95 or surgical mask), the network of crisscrossing fibers
acts as a high-density of collision targets.
Capture
Probability: The cumulative probability of capture depends on the droplet’s size, mask’s
filtration efficiency, and airflow conditions. In statistical terms, a mask
decreases the probability that a particle successfully survives its journey
from the environment to the lungs.
Key Tips for Daily Life
Close the lid before
flushing: Whenever possible, close the toilet lid prior to activating the flush.
The lid acts as a physical barrier that helps reduce the upward transport of
aerosolized droplets, thereby limiting harmful bacteria and viruses from being
atomized into the air.
Avoid Smoking or Vaping
Indoors: Smoking or vaping release large numbers of fine airborne particles that
can remain suspended for extended periods in poorly ventilated spaces. These
particles can be inhaled by both the user and subsequent occupants, increasing
the risk of respiratory illnesses and cancer.
Use Masks and
Ventilation together: Ventilation increases the clearance rate (k), while masks reduce
the probability that remaining airborne particles are inhaled. The combination
of effective ventilation and well-fitted masks provides a better defense
against airborne exposure. From the perspective of kinetic theory, this combined
approach simultaneously reduces both the concentration of hazardous particles
in the environment and the probability of an encounter between a particle and
the respiratory system. In other words, it lowers both the collision rate and
the total exposure time—two key factors that determine risks.
Review Questions:
1. Explain why the velocity distribution of ions in a
weak electric field is assumed to deviate only slightly from the Maxwell
distribution. Which physical assumption justifies this?
2. Explain what it means for the collision process to
be "memoryless." Why does this property lead to an exponential
distribution of free-flight times? Provide a simple analogy (e.g., radioactive
decay or waiting for a bus) to illustrate the idea.
3. Explain why the collision probability is considered
the "fundamental assumption" while the survival probability is a
"statistical consequence." Explain how are the two probabilities
complementary?
References:
Feynman,
R. P., Leighton, R. B., & Sands, M. (1963). The Feynman Lectures on
Physics, Vol I: Mainly
mechanics, radiation, and heat. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley.
Maxwell, J. C.
(1860). II. Illustrations of the dynamical theory of gases. The London,
Edinburgh, and Dublin Philosophical Magazine and Journal of Science, 20(130),
21-37.
Reif, F. (1965). Fundamentals
of statistical and thermal physics. McGraw-Hill.
Srinivasan, A.,
Krishan, J., Bathula, S., & Mayya, Y. S. (2021). Modeling the viral load
dependence of residence times of virus‐laden droplets from COVID‐19‐infected
subjects in indoor environments. Indoor Air, 31(6),
1786-1797.

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